Our Life in 2030 – Predictions of the Green Paper authors
By doing In December 2020 to publish the green paper from the “Future Public Safety Forum” The experts involved have already created a scenario for what our life in Germany would look like in 2030: In August – after six years of drought – the thermometer could rise to 45 degrees Celsius, according to scientists’ predictions. Drinking water supply will become a problem. The replenishment of food and drinking water can be interrupted by heat-related road damage. Germany wouldn’t be a good place to live for seniors either. The number of heat deaths among them will increase sharply according to this forecast. Schools and day care centers are also often closed due to soaring temperatures.
A look at the past shows that the authors of The Green Paper do not exaggerate their expectations, but they are absolutely correct: Yes In the 2015 Green Paper Scientists had warned of epidemics and the spread of pathogens due to increased mobility and climate change.
Climate targets fail! Where can you still live in the future? | PlanetB | BR
Where else to live Orientation based on “Global Adaptation Index”
But where do we still live after that? Offers good guidance Global Adaptation Index (“GAIN Index”). This arrangement was created by researchers from the University of Notre Dame in Indiana, USA. Using 74 climate factors, they predict where to live in the future as climate change progresses. It’s not just the evolution of temperature that plays a role in scientists’ predictions. The expected location of education, infrastructure and water supply also affects the arrangement.
Climate ranking: Germany in 10th place, behind Singapore
Germany isn’t the top spot on the list, but it isn’t in bad shape either. Our country ranks 10th out of 181 countries examined, and in the 9th and 8th places, Iceland and Austria. Singapore, on the other hand, is a real surprise. The island and city-state located between the Indian Ocean and the South China Sea are ranked seventh in the so-called “GAIN Index” comparison despite the sea level rise.
Singapore: With technical innovations against climate change
According to the researchers, the reason why Singapore in particular is recognized as having a relatively secure future is in the country’s handling of climate change. Mainly thanks to technical innovations, the city-state with its global financial center can score points when it comes to protecting the environment.
For example, the local government decided to invest 72 billion USD in research or protection devices such as dams. And Southeast Asians don’t feel sensitive when it comes to punishing environmental sins. Leaving a candy wrapper in nature costs about SGD 300 for the first mistake. Spitting gum on the street costs up to S $ 1,000, which means a fine of around € 600.
“Global Adaptation Index”: 5th place for Switzerland
According to climate predictions of US scientists, Switzerland ranks fifth in the country’s ranking. Despite the postcard’s stunning landscape, the tiny Alpine country is also grappling with the consequences of climate change. Because there is also a rise in temperature, glaciers melt faster and the zero degree boundary shifts higher in the mountains.
Although drinking water is unlikely to be scarce, the warming temperatures in the Rhine could mean that not enough water can flow for shipping. Among other things, this can lead to problems in transporting goods. The Swiss are also trying to combat the consequences of climate change with an action plan. The response to climate change is being considered with new water tanks, with deeper channels for ships or with improved protective structures or protective forests. However, this is not enough to be in the top three in climate forecast.
New Zealand is ranked second despite the declared climate emergency
On December 2, 2020, the New Zealand government declared a “state of emergency related to climate change”. New Zealand Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern wants to put climate protection at the top of the political agenda. By 2025, for example, the public sector should be climate neutral, as promised by the government.
Tourism in particular, on which the country with its rich natural environment depends, endangers the climate. Nevertheless, New Zealand scores well in the country’s climate prediction ranking. One reason: preparing in politics and society to confront climate change. In addition to the will to reduce greenhouse gases, high social benefits and little corruption provide good conditions for a framework for the ability to make the right decisions to protect the climate.
Ranking winner: Norway is the best in the world to challenge climate change
Norway is now the seventh largest source of carbon dioxide emissions. This is primarily due to the vast quantities of oil and gas that the country provides to the entire world. However, Norway ranks first in country rankings. One reason for this is that Norway itself gets nearly all of its energy from sustainable sources, especially hydropower. Rising temperatures due to climate change are also less dangerous for residents of the Scandinavian country than in other parts of the world. This is also evidenced by the climate predictions published by the US Journal of Commerce National Geographic in 2070 for individual cities around the world Created. According to expectations there, it will be between 15 and 24 degrees in Oslo in the summer of 2070.
conclusion: According to the predictions of scientists, we will all have to move to Norway so that we can live safely despite climate change. Since this is impossible for most people, we must all work together to ensure that Earth remains habitable everywhere.