Awapuni Race Scratchings
R1: 2,7,8,9
R2: 4,6
R3: 
R4: 8,18,19,20,21
R5: 2,8,10,12
R6: 
R7: 9
R8:
R9: 5,8

Track conditions: Dead 4
Weather: Fine
Rail: True
Track: Left hand 1700m
Length of straight: 350m

Awapuni track map

TAB Meeting #4 with the first of 9 races starting at 12:05pm                        
DBL: 2-3, 4-5, 6-7, 8-9 
TRB: 1-2-3, 4-5-6, 7-8-9
QAD: 2-3-4-5 , 6-7-8-9
PICK 6: Starts on race 4 with a $25,000 Guarantee

Image result for horse racing betting strategy

Todays $50 Betting Strategy
RACE 4: #1 THE CHOSEN ONE $10 Win  (paying $4.60 NZ TAB FOB)
RACE 6: $27 Quaddie /1-3-4-6-7-8 / 2-4-10 / 1-2-5-6-8 / 3-7-13 /  = 10% 
RACE 7: #10 MONRECOUR $7 Win  (paying $8.50 NZ TAB FOB)
RACE 8: $3 Quinella 1/ 2-6 / (Cost $6)
Thursday meeting $50 spend returned $19.80 = $30.20 loss
Betting Strategy running total spent $6,050 to return $4,771.80 = $1,278.20 loss

RACE 1: Final Field Win Option #760 & Final Field Place Option #771. HOIST benefitted from an astute training effort and a gun ride when scoring comprehensively at Ellerslie, leading up to his win he had recorded three 3rds but was still a month between runs coming into that heavy track last start, he has previously performed at this level so won’t have any trouble measuring up, he is fit and can handle any track conditions, the small field will suit, he is capable of going back to back. JIMMY ROCKET went to Tauranga last start for the softer option available that weekend but still found a way to get beaten, this time it wasn’t all his doing as the horses in front of him were going nowhere, he did well to pick himself up and finish 3rd, he is always a chance, the day you drop him will be the day he wins so it is best to include him. AMORATA is nearing her peak fitness, she has been building nicely since being put over ground four starts back, she was a close 2nd last start, closing strongly at the finish, she is trained on the track and won’t mind if there is some rain about. Expect her to be running on, each way. KORAKONUI was a winner when she last raced on this track three starts back, following that win she went to Wairoa for their Cup, where she closed off gamely for 4th, she then went to Trentham for the St Leger and apart from the runaway winner she wasn’t beaten far again making up many lengths, the small field here should ensure that she doesn’t get as far back this time and the drop in grade will also assist, watch for her late. VITTACHI is probably the best of the rest, he is crying out for a wet track and like he did at Matamata on a slow track he is capable of running into the money if not winning, he is a very fit horse that is at his best around this distance range, weather watch for this galloper.

RACE 2: Final Field Win Option #762 & Final Field Place Option #772. BEAUDEN just bolted around Woodville to string two together in this grade, he had won a handy trial leading into that run but no one expected him to dominate the way that he did, he still won with something in hand and stays at the same R82 level, he must be hard to beat again. AMBITIOUS WINNER was returning from a long spell when fresh up last start, he had had a trial leading up to that run but was in obvious need of the outing, he is much better than that and gets out to a more suitable distance for him, he has strong form on rain affected going and will improve quickly, back a rating band he is a must include. PAISLEY PARK still has a lot to learn, he is a big raw imposing galloper who when he puts it all together will be a force to be reckoned with, he still didn’t look comfortable racing right handed last start and looked a bit lost at Ellerslie, showing a touch of class he managed to wind up late, finishing 5th, he will strip fitter here and back to a left handed track he is capable of winning, watch closely. ROCK ON WOOD is a very progressive galloper, he raced in the Classic for 3 year olds on this day last year and wasn’t disgraced, stamping himself as a horse of real quality, he hadn’t been seen publicly for nearly a year when he won a trial before resuming at Hastings, even though he looked as big as a bull he proved to classy, being one of the few horses to win from the rear that day, he hasn’t finished winning yet. GORBACHEV has not raced since winning the Wellington Cup over 2 miles, that win was well deserved after placing 4th in this season’s NZ Cup as well, he has won fresh up in the past and is the type of horse who always tries his best no matter what the distance, include in all multiples. SERGEANT BLAST was a winner around this time last year before going to Queensland, he didn’t really fire over there for whatever reason, he has had two runs this year after some time off and hinted at his last start that he may not be far away from his best again, he would appreciate a bit of rain around and can make his presence felt in this, each way.

RACE 3: Final Field Win Option #763 & Final Field Place Option #769. JUST FABULOUS has progressed well this season, she has been up a long time but has had her races well spaced, she finished 3rd as a maiden in the Group 3 Eulogy Stakes on this track in December, then followed that with an impressive win at her next start, she is now ready for the mile and after finishing only 5 lengths from the winner last start in the Wellington Guineas she does looked well placed back in R65 grade. ROBUSTO resumed from a good spell with a fast finishing 4th at Pukekohe she then rushed home for 2nd at Te Aroha, she should have finished closer that day as she got held up for a time in the straight, she is even better on a rain affected track and looks to be in for a big season in the coming months, can go one better here. WHITE SHIELD had her first run in over two months when 3rd last start, she had a lot of improvement left in her and should strip a lot fitter for this, she appears to be the likely pace in the race, at her first attempt at the mile she should take some running down. LADY RUDOLPH has made a bright start to her career, having yet to finish out of the money, she has been motoring home at her last two races and will appreciate the increase in distance to the mile here, she handles any conditions with another win not too far away, goes close. LINCOLN FURY built nicely this preparation to a nice maiden win last start, he was heavily backed and duly delivered, he a beat a handy field that day so should handle the rise in grade here, he seems to have no trouble handling wet tracks, he should race close to the pace which is sometimes an advantage around this track when it is wet, each way. CULLEN BOHANNON no one was upset when this galloper finally broke through for a deserved maiden victory at his last start, he had been unlucky on a couple of occasions prior and as we have seen many times before that these horses only need a confidence booster to unlock their true potential, he has the ability to go on with it now.

RACE 4: Final Field Win Option #768 & Final Field Place Option #774. What a good field of 3 year olds assembled for the Manawatu classic, sticking with THE CHOSEN ONE after his unlucky run in the Derby, in years gone by you’d have said the Derby was won by the years best 3 year old, we are not so sure after this years running, this fellow should have finished a lot closer and he gives the impression that he should be even better on a softer track, he deserves another chance, hard to beat in this. LANGKAWI was deliberately set a path away from the Derby after finishing well back at Te Rapa, he bounced straight back to win at Hastings over the 1400 metres, he then stayed at the same distance but went up in class to finish 5th at Trentham, he was doing his best work at the finish and deserves another chance at a middle distance, each way in a very even field. SPRING DELIGHT was tested at this level two starts back, though beaten she was spotted doing her best work late, she had no luck from the wide draw on that occasion and made amends at her next start against an average lot, winning by some 6 lengths, The Oaks may have come too soon for this filly but this race would be a nice consolation prize should she win, include in all multiples. DECADENCE was an impressive last start winner albeit in maiden company, she raced well at unsuitable distances leading up to that wining effort which was her first at the mile, she is bred to excel over even further distances so anything up to those attempts will be considered a bonus, this field is well within her range, each way. NORDIC was flying home late to finish 2nd in the same race that the above filly contested at Te Aroha, some would say it was a better run, he has made ground at each and every start and looks to be a stayer of some promise, he has been crying out for a middle distance, he gets his chance to show his true worth here, hard to beat.

RACE 5: Final Field Win Option #766 & Final Field Place Option #770. Another handy field of 3 year olds has assembled for this race, CAVALLO VELOCE has been up since the start of Spring, he is racing just as well now as he was earlier in the season and hasn’t shirked the task in any of the bigger races, his run for 4th at Trentham last start was very good, dropping back to the 1200 metres here should be no problem, watch for him late. WHAT A SMASHER mixed his form earlier in the season before putting some consistent runs together over the holiday period, he has been given a freshen up since last racing but has been kept ticking over with two sedate trials, he will be spot on to resume come race day. MARIA DIOR has lacked a bit of spark at her last couple of runs and it could be due to the slow tracks, she is much better than what her recent form suggests, she races best when on the speed, with better track conditions she is capable of bouncing right back to her best form. BIT LIPPY could be the forgotten horse, his form has been nowhere near the form he showed when running 6th in the 2000 Guineas and he would probably be the only horse that hasn’t gone on to win since contesting that race, maybe a return to a left handed track could bring about a form reversal, also his stable is starting to fire up, allow one more chance. PRINCESS AMELIE falls into the same category as the above galloper, all her recent racing has been at Ellerslie and in three starts there a 3rd was her best result, her other efforts though sound weren’t a true indication of her ability, she is much better placed here, a form reversal can be expected. MAISON ROXANNE made amends for an average showing two starts back by winning her last start at Matamata on rain affected track conditions, she beat a very progressive type that day and should have no trouble measuring up to this field, she is a very promising type with strong each way claims. HEART OF STONE has untapped ability, she franked her good trial form by finishing 2nd on debut behind a very promising type, she then destroyed a maiden field at her last start, winning by over four lengths without being touched, this is obviously a step up but she looks to be up to the challenge, can win.

RACE 6: Final Field Win Option #767 & Final Field Place Option #776. YOURDEEL dug deep to score on a heavy track last start at Ellerslie, with that good filly in Sydney he has flourished to become probably our best 2 year old, he has come into his own on the rain affected tracks and with the likelihood of rain this week he gets a great chance to win both juvenile Group 1 races. AALAALUNE looked likely last start behind the above colt, she just ran in and had to be straightened up which may have cost her the race considering the short margin she was beaten (a nose), if any 2 year old has looked like they wanted 1400 metres then this filly is it, she will also appreciate being back to a left handed track. ARETHA finished 3rd in the Group 1 race at Ellerslie,, she has only raced in Group company at all her three starts, she just missed last start and even though she had her chance to win she still fought right to the line and will be suited by the extra distance here, goes close. BAVELLA was the early boom juvenile winning her first two starts in style, she was then put aside to be specifically aimed for the late season features, she was 4th in the first Group 1 at Ellerslie which somewhat made amends for her average effort fresh up at Matamata, she can improve further but her winning chances may hinge on the track conditions being a touch firmer than three weeks ago, weather watch then react. EQUINOX used his race day experience to advantage at his last start at Trentham, having been a winner at that track on debut he handled the junction better than the rest, he clung on in the end but not in a way you like to seed odds on favourites win, in his favour though is that his connections expect him to improve a lot with that run under his belt, if that is the case then he is worth putting in to all combinations. HOLY MONGOLEMPEROR was only 2nd up in the same Trentham race as the above galloper and his was actually the run of the race, he boomed home from well back to finish a fast closing 2nd suggesting that he will thrive over the 1400 metres here, hard to beat with natural improvement. BELLE MENTE is a quality youngster, she should have won on debut she then proved too good next up and was quickly tested at Group 2 level at Matamata where she was a very brave 4th, she has been kept on ice since then but gives every indication that she is up to any horse in this, watch closely. FIRST ROCK it took her a couple of runs to learn what the racing game was all about but once she worked it out at start number three she was much too good for inferior opposition at Matamata, this is a step up but she is tough and that will take her a long way to winning this, each way. THE FUGITIVE has untapped ability, he blew them off the race track on debut, he then followed that with a good 2nd at Trentham, he should have finished closer had he not overreacted when racing over the junction, he is over 10 weeks between runs but being a clean winded type he wouldn’t have needed much leading into this, include in all multiples.

RACE 7: Final Field Win Option #765 & Final Field Place Option #773. TOMELILLA is a proven high class performer resuming, she is lethal when fresh (7-3-2) and looked well forward when finishing 2nd at a recent trial, at her best she would be winning this, follow any positive market leads. MAGNUM has been beaten at his last two runs but his efforts are better than they look on paper, his last run was in the best of company and he was less than 5 lengths from the winner, his other misses were at the mile, he is more suited at the 1400 metres, he should be thereabouts at the business end at nice each way odds. OVERTHERIVER raced on both days at Wairoa, he didn’t seem to back up on the 2nd day and was given a wee freshen up, back to 1400 metres should be of no concern to this versatile galloper as he performs to his best whatever the occasion, he is too good to totally dismiss, each way. Stablemates SWEEPSTAKE and BEEFEATER have both had their opportunities at the top grade this season and have also put in mixed performances at the lower levels, this is the type of field they can bob up in, with luck in the running they shouldn’t be far away. For longer odds consider MONRECOUR she had her first run for the powerful Fraser Auret stable in the Cuddle Stakes at Group 3 level, she was a brave 6th in her first outing for 6 weeks, she has to improve with that run under her belt and being back in distance should be no problem, watch closely.

RACE 8: Final Field Win Option #764 & Final Field Place Option #775. SAINT EMILION is just struggling to recapture his best form at the moment, he was a month between runs leading into that Group 1 feature at Ellerslie and looked like he needed it, he will be that much better with that run under his belt, expect a form reversal here. DOLCETTO absolutely flew home for 2nd at New Plymouth last start to be only beaten a short margin by a quality mare that has since won in Sydney, he grows a leg on wet tracks and though he hasn’t started in over a month his trainer always has then ready come race day, watch closely. HUNTA PENCE went to Wairoa in search of a confidence booster, he duly obliged his connections by winning easily, he carried that winning form onto Trentham where he upset the hot favourite in a small field, he will appreciate the return to a middle distance and in his current form cannot be discounted. GIOVANNI CANALETTO finally showed us why he is held in such high regard by finishing 3rd last start in the Matamata Cup, his return to form coincided with him being tried over a middle distance and wet track conditions being on offer, he was only beaten 2 noses by very good gallopers, he get his chance to break his NZ duck in this. AUTHENTIC PADDY was much more like the galloper of earlier in the season when finishing 4th at Ellerslie, he showed more of his customary fight and appears to be peaking at the right time, he will race close to the pace and be given every chance to get back into the winners circle, each way. Talking of 9 Year olds SAMPSON was an emphatic winner of the St Leger at Trentham last start, albeit against much weaker opposition, he wouldn’t want the track to be too wet but in his current form he is capable of figuring in the finish.

RACE 9: Final Field Win Option #761 & Final Field Place Option #777. DEERFIELD looks to be one of the more progressive gallopers in the Central Districts, he was beaten on debut by a nice type, he didn’t know much about racing so did well to finish as close as he did, he won his next start beating a galloper than has since won in very impressive fashion, he then handled the rise in grade with ease, sitting outside the leader and winning as he liked, this is by far his biggest test but he looks to be up to the challenge, go again. MISS CONTESSA put two wins together earlier in the season, she then had no luck at her next run, following that she got too far back at Trentham but looked on the way back last start when 2nd on this track behind a very smart galloper, she hasn’t started in 6 weeks but does drop to the 1400 metres, expect her to be thereabouts when it counts. BRIDAL VEIL couldn’t find the front at Matamata last start, she was then forced wide when making her run so to finish 3rd was actually a very good effort, she seems best when allowed to roll along and she should be pushing forward here, she doesn’t mind the sting out of the track which she should get on the weekend making her one of the leading chances in this. JEWEL OF PATCH strung two wins together early last year, he was then spelled and for whatever reason didn’t resume until January this year where he finished 5th of 6, he was spotted making up ground late in a handy line up, unfortunately he lost a shoe during the running which has kept him away from the race track since then, the stable seldom travel without getting results and this galloper doesn’t mind any easing of the track, watch closely. EUKA LADY finished 3rd in the race won by the above galloper, she looked the winner at the distance but had to bow to the superior finish, she also lost 2nd late which leaves some doubt as to whether she can get 1400 metres at this stage of her career, either way she is still a very promising galloper with each way claims in this.