Here are the three regions of France that will suffer the most from the heat in the next 30 years

Here are the three regions of France that will suffer the most from the heat in the next 30 years

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change just published A disturbing new report on global warming and its measurable consequences. Compared to the pre-industrial era, the Earth’s average temperature has already increased by 1.1°C, while sea level has risen by 20 cm compared to the last century.

Across the world, temperatures have been rising over the past few years, and 2022 was one of the hottest years on record. Lemon squeezer. In France, INSEE published a study conducted with Météo France a few months ago to highlight the areas most affected by the high temperatures.

20 abnormally hot days a year

the Title Of this report is particularly important: “One in seven people live in an area that is prone to more than 20 abnormally hot summer days in the coming decades.” However, not all regions are in the same boat.

If urban areas are going to be affected more and more by heat, then the coast will be a little more. On the other hand, sea level rise is a critical component of the French coasts. Mountainous regions from the Massif Central to the Alps will be severely affected by the rise in temperatures.

Below, an INSEE map highlighting the French geographic regions most affected by climate change. An “unusually hot day” is characterized by a day when a temperature greater than 5 °C is observed compared to the reference data (period 1976–2005). Away from the coast, French regions could record up to 29 abnormally hot days a year, for the next three decades.

Frequency of abnormally hot days and nights during the period 1976-2005 and 2021-2050 © INSEE

What are the most affected areas?

The INSEE report indicates that “9.3 million people live in areas where thermal anomalies during the day are most common (more than 20 days in summer). They represent 14% of the population of the French capital, or one person in seven.”

Among the areas of most interest, there are first Auvergne Rhone-Alpes Where 68% of the population will experience more than 20 abnormally hot days a year “during the months of June, July and August”. The Statistical Institute states that during the period 1976-2005 none of these populations were exposed to such temperatures.

The second region most affected by heat waves: Occitania Where 20% of the population will be exposed to heat waves. there New Aquitaine Completes the platform (13% of the population) with the provinces of Cruz, Correez and Haute-Vienne which will be the main victims of this climate change.

Frequency of Tropical Nights in France © Insee

Logically, the coastal areas would be the least prone to “abnormally hot days.” Less than the others, Brittany, Corsica, Normandy and Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur will be affected by the heat. In the study conducted by INSEE, it is particularly concerned with the elderly, young adults, very low-income people, and outdoor workers.

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