United States: Kamala's Return to the Pivotal States
the New York Times It has long been causing the Democratic camp to sweat, regularly publishing polls on key states for the presidential election. In the not-so-distant days of Joe Biden’s campaign, bad news piled up one after another. Then this weekend, less than a month after the outgoing president’s resignation, the American newspaper, in collaboration with Siena College, offered Democrats the unthinkable: good numbers in the run-up to the November election. swing states.
Since Kamala Harris entered the race, 50 percent of likely voters in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania have said they are ready to vote for her, four points more than Donald Trump. If the election were held today, the vice president would win 44 of their voters, or 16 percent of the threshold needed to win the White House. In his May poll, Joe Biden trailed by seven points in Michigan, three in Pennsylvania and two in Wisconsin.
These new polls suggest not only that Kamala Harris, as Joe Biden’s replacement, has closed the gap with Donald Trump, but that her strategy of targeting “blue-collar” voters in these states is beginning to bear fruit. In fact, the poll was conducted the week that the candidate and her new running mate, Tim Walz, made their first trips there. Visits that had a positive impact on her popularity. She received a positive rating of 48% and was seen by a majority of respondents as intelligent (65%) and honest (52%). That’s nearly ten points more than the Republican.
Tim Walz is still unknown to some, and he is also in a better position than his rival J.D. Vance, who is viewed negatively by 46%. Bad news for Donald Trump, who nevertheless chose him as his running mate to consolidate his lead in these working-class states.
Still, there are three months to go before the election, and the Harris-Walz ticket should ensure that this good news eventually translates to the polls. In addition, other pivotal states remain to be won, most notably Georgia, Nevada and Arizona, which have 33 primary electors. North Carolina is increasingly leaning toward Donald Trump, who plans to go there on Wednesday.
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