Te Aroha Raceday Scratchings
NZ TAB Meeting #6 with the first of 8 races starting at 12:27pm
Doubles: 1-2, 3-4, 5-6, 7-8
Trebles: 2-3-4, 6-7-8
Quaddies: 1-2-3-4, 5-6-7-8
Track conditions: Dead 4
Rail: Out 6m
Track: Right hand 1900m
Length of straight: 500m
Todays $50 Betting Strategy
Race 5: $16 Quaddie / 1-3/3-5-15-16 / 1-5-6-7-8 / 1-2-7-12 / = 10%
Race 5: #1 ELUSIVE METEOR $30 Win (paying $7.00 NZ TAB FOB) & $4 Quinella 1 x 3
Race 7: #8 FELIX FAURE $5 Win (paying $6.50 NZ TAB FOB) & $5 % Trifecta 8 / 1-5-6-7 / 1-5-6-7 / (33%)
Thursdays $50 spend returned $00.00 = $50 loss
Betting Strategy running total spent $5,400 to return $4,652.60 = $747.40 loss
Race 1: Best bet CORNISH POINT has made a busy start to the year and has improved at each outing, she ran on nicely last start when finishing 4th in her first attempt over a middle distance, she’ll be better for that, hard to beat. SYLWEK really hit his straps at Wairoa when tried over a middle distance and finishing 2nd, this field is no tougher, can go one better in this. SCIACCA and PRESS MY BUTTONS are a couple to consider for wider combinations, there recent form is near enough and they wouldn’t have to improve much to get a piece of the action here.
Race 2: Best bet GOLDEN AGE has just been beaten at his last two starts in the Central Districts, he gets the ace draw and has Opie Bosson taking the reins, from the leading Te Akau stable he looks to be the likely favourite and the hardest to beat. GERMANICUS has taken a bit of time to come to it but has improved once he has been tried over the longer trips, he has to work hard last start and did well to finish 3rd, connections have added the side winkers which may be enough to get him over the line first here, watch closely. HENLEY ROAD and SPIRITED both produced career best performances for 2nd at their respective last starts and have improved with age, best to be safe and include them in all multiples.
Race 3: Best bet SAVASTEP hasn’t been beaten far at her last three starts including a couple of 2nd placings behind some progressive types, she draws well and this looks to be well within her reach, hard to beat. DECADENCE just missed last start when beaten a nose splitting a pair of promising maidens, she will appreciate the step up to a mile and is a leading contender from her good draw. SCOMADI has been knocking on the door for a while now but always seems to find a way to get beaten, she is likely to push forward from the handy enough draw which is always an advantage around this track. TORQUE STRAIGHT brought her good trial form to her debut when finishing 3rd on debut, she was only beaten less than a length and would have improved with the race day experience, she has a wide draw to overcome but this track has one of the longest straights in NZ so she should still get her chance to run on, watch for her late.
Race 4: Best bet DEELS DONE got well back last start and did really well to just get up by a nose, that effort confirmed his ability, he should have no problems measuring up when making his way through the grades, the small field here looks to be ideal, can double up. SAHAR just needed his fresh up run at Ellerslie when finishing 4th in a handy field, the extra 200 metres here looks ideal and he will be a lot sharper for this, hard to beat. GEHRIG was stepped up to a middle distance and duly delivered last start, it does appear as though a middle distance and further will be where his future lies but he should still be sharp enough to be competitive here, watch for him late. NORDIC gained a deserved win two starts back at Avondale with a solid rails finish to score nicely, he then followed that with an unlucky 8th when up in grade at Ellerslie, he is capable of making his presence felt in this.
Race 5: A R65 mile for fillies and mares starts the quaddie, best bet WITCHERY resumed from a Summer break with an unlucky 3rd, then next time out was caught wide at Tauranga, she did well to finish as close as she did that day, last start she just missed by a nose and will appreciate the mile on offer here, Opie Bosson taking the reins is another reason to have her on top. FLOMILINE put her first three unlucky starts behind her when producing a quick finish to get and win easily at her next run, she hasn’t finished winning yet and the long straight will suit her down to the ground, capable of going back to back. RED BEACH is 3rd up here and indicated that her best form isn’t too far away, she has needed both her runs back, she is likely to get a trip to suit form the ace draw and should be thereabouts at the finish. ELUSIVE METEOR was doing her best work at the finish last start and had next up winner written all over it, she shouldn’t get as far back this time from her handy draw and with the 3KG claim should be right in the thick of things at the business end, watch closely. ROBUSTO returned in good order when making a fresh start after a long Winter spell, finishing just in behind them when 4th at Counties, she will be at her best once the tracks soften but should be sharp enough to competitive at the mile here, each way.
Race 6: Best bet COPPER FOX just comes out on top in a very even field with numerous each way chances, this fellow has taken time to get the races but looks like he will reward his connections for their patience, he made his debut off the back of two nice trial wins, his trainer cautioned that whatever he did on debut he would improve on, finishing on well for 4th that day suggests that he will be hard to hold out with an extra 200 metres to travel here. PRINCE ALBERT hasn’t started since going a cracker in a hot 3 year old listed contest at Ellerslie just prior to Christmas, he looks to have above average ability and is always running on in his races, expect him to get back from the wide draw but nothing should be finishing on as strongly at the end, watch for him late. MILITARY STEP looks likely to get a start of the ballot here, he went to Wairoa for his debut and finished 3rd, he wasn’t beaten far, he impressed as a type that with the trip away he would improve, the further he goes the better he’ll get so with that in mind he should be thereabouts in this from the handy draw. MIGHTY ASLAN improved from his debut effort when finishing 3rd last start, he can push forward from his draw and either sit close or make the pace, from that position he could be hard to run down. MISS ANONYMOUS actually finished 2nd ahead of the above galloper, which was her first show of form since running 3rd fresh up, on that effort she must be accorded an each way chance here. A market watch is advised for both FAST AND SINGLE and SCHERZO, if there are any positive moves then react accordingly.
Race 7: Best bet NOT USUAL JANE made a bright start to the season with a fresh up win at Otaki, things haven’t gone right in two subsequent runs, she has tended to over race in the running, leading trainers have removed the blinkers in an attempt to get her to settle, if she is able to then with a 3KG claim she should be hard to hold out, expect a form reversal. STELLA NOIRE has also had the blinkers removed for her resuming run, she has prepared for this with two quiet trials and looks well forward to make a positive return, she didn’t quite come up in the early Spring but her debut win as a 2 year old was that of a galloper that should be able to work her way through the grades, watch closely. For longer odds consider FELIX FAURE he was dropped back to sprinting last start but still found himself in front, from his good draw he will be looking for cover here and with the 3KG claim he should be finishing on strongly, include in all multiples. NULLI SECUNDUS was tested against the best early season 3 year olds in the Spring, her last start is best forgotten as she had had enough by then but her two efforts prior were very good, she might need the run but cannot be risked.
Race 8: Best bet INTO THE GROOVE was a beaten favourite on debut after trialling impressively, she still went well and finished 2nd, she then looked a touch weak at his next two starts when not backing up as connections would have liked, she has not been seen publically in over a year but anything from the powerful Te Akau stable is usually spot on come race day, Opie Bosson riding also inspires confidence, hard to beat from the ace draw. RUNNING MAN started the season in good style when finishing 2nd fresh up, he then didn’t appear to concentrate at his next two starts, as a consequence the decision was made to geld him, which should help him settle down and focus on racing, from the good draw he will be hard to hold out. BEAUTY STAR showed good speed to sit up outside the leader and draw away when winning his latest trial, for whatever reason he is making his debut as a 5 year old but must be worth persevering with, follow any positive market leads. RED SENNA was a touch weak earlier in the season, she wasn’t far away and then was put aside before the tracks got too hard, she looked in great condition when placing at a recent trial and has obviously matured with the time away, a bold effort can be expected. ANATOLIA shouldn’t be allowed to get under your guard, she showed good pace and courage to win her most recent trial when sitting wide on the pace the whole way, she was even eased down on the line as she had the opposition well covered, if she can bring that form to the races then she must be given a solid each way chance.