Poverty Bay TC Race Scratchings
TAB Meeting #4 with the first of 8 races starting at 1:20pm
Doubles: 1-2, 3-4, 5-6, 7-8
Trebles: 2-3-4, 6-7-8
Quaddies: 1-2-3-4, 5-6-7-8
Track conditions: Good 3
Track: Left hand 1800m
Length of straight: 400m
Todays $50 Betting Strategy
Race 2: #6 MY HUGO $6 Win (paying $35.00 NZ TAB FOB)
Race 5:$24 Quaddie / 2-3-4-5 / 1-4-5-6-7 / 1-5-10 / 2-3-5-8 / = 10%
Race 5: #5 CAPELLANI $5 E/W (paying $15.00 & $3.80 NZ TAB FOB)
Race 8: #8 PRIOR ENGAGEMENT $5E/W (paying $6.50 & $2.30 NZ TAB FOB)
Saturdays two meetings $100 spent returned $00.00 = $100 (loss)
Betting Strategy running total spent $4,450 to return $4,240.20 ($209.80 loss)
Biggest early mover as at 8:15am raceday race 8 #5 Troup Road $11.00 – $8.50
Race 1: Best bet SCOMADI is certainly knocking on the door, she has been running on over the mile and should appreciate the step up to a middle distance where she might make a play for the front to keep out of trouble, it is also a plus to be on pace around this track, with a handy 3KG claim she looks to be a big winning chance. MONDORANI anything from his stable (Kevin Myers) must be respected when racing here, this fellow has made a bright start to his career, has done a bit of travelling already, making up plenty of ground for 2nd at Tauherenikau, he shouldn’t get as far back in this and can go one better. RESURGENCE hasn’t lived up to his breeding yet but is now strong enough to be tried over what should be his preferred distance range, his stable seldom travel to these parts without coming away with something, he looks to be among the hardest to beat. INVIGORATE made up for an unlucky effort at Tauranga to run on well for 3rd at Rotorua next time to the races, he is an improving type and has the bonus of Chris Johnson taking over the reins.
Race 2: Best bet ROCK IDOL showed pace fresh up but faded late, he was well supported off the back of a good trial win and may have needed the run to build fitness, the drop back to 1200 metres looks to be the right move at this stage, his stable also seldom race here unless they expect big runs, follow your money. COUNT CONTI raced a touch greenly on debut, then followed that with a 3rd at Hastings after finding himself in front, he is likely to get back from his wide draw which is not ideal but with a little luck he can make his presence felt at the finish, each way. MERYACE showed pace at both starts as a 2 year old, he was then put aside to mature, he has had three trials to prepare for this assignment so will be well forward, the stable will be dead keen to give their apprentice his first win and this galloper is shaping up to maybe do the honours, follow any positive market leads. MY HUGO has been in work for some time, with three trials since August to get him ready, don’t be put off by the unplaced effort at his latest trial where he rounded off that race nicely without being pushed, his astute trainer will have him spot on come raceday, include in all multiples.
Race 3: Best bet MCEDITH returned from a short let up to record a handy maiden win at Trentham, on that occasion she led all the way and in the process beat a couple of promising maidens, she has the draw to lead again making her a big chance to go back to back as this field isn’t the strongest R65. TUIGOLD came to the circuit last season and ran well, winning his maiden at Wairoa, after that he was thrown in the deep end but wasn’t strong enough to cope with it all, he has had a good spell since then and with a 4KG claim looks well placed here, watch closely. LALA LAND was a touch disappointing last start at New Plymouth, he was well backed that day off the back of an encouraging 3rd fresh up, maybe 2nd up he was feeling a little flat but he has shown enough to be competitive in this, follow your money. Nothing went right for NUCLEAR FUSION early in the season and she was put away for a Summer spell, she earned black type form as a 2 year old but would probably need a wet track to feature here, weather watch. MANNIE’S POWER showed pace to sit outside the leader then wear down the opposition at a recent trial, she is a lightly tried 6 year old mare and has bobbed up on occasion, she will get few better chances, her good draw helps.
Race 4: Best bet DUKE OF PLUMPTON couldn’t quite get there on debut finishing 2nd, he couldn’t keep up early and will be much better suited by the extra distance here, he won’t be a maiden for long, one to follow. WAIWETU LASS wasn’t converting her good trial form to race day form but given time to mature she has since run two good races for 2nd, she is likely to push forward early now that she is up in trip and could be hard to run down, each way. MAKABAR put in a real good effort two starts back at New Plymouth, he travelled there again for his next start in rich company, he was disgraced and will appreciate the drop back to his rightful grade, Chris Johnson negates the wide draw and a bold run can be expected. CHE GUEVARA is making his debut after a solid trial preparation, his latest trial produced a 2nd placing over the 1400 metres suggesting that his future will be over the middle distances but he should still have enough dash to be an each way chance here, follow any positive market leads.
Race 5: A R65 Mile starts the quaddie, best bet FULL OF GRACE had a tough run when fresh up and this may have taken the edge off him at TeTeko when finishing 6th, he should be nearing peak fitness 3rd up, the extra distance also looks to be ideal, very hard to beat from the good draw, follow your money. CAPELLANI went some nice races in good 3 year old company prior to having a short break, it is best to forget his Tauherenikau effort over an unsuitable distance, he also looked to be in need of the run too, now up to the mile a form reversal can be expected. MOFARA after winning his maiden was taken to Australia, unfortunately he didn’t quite settle in, back home and given a long break he resumes here, first up at the mile suggests he is very fit and a bold effort can be expected, include in all multiples. CABOCHON steadily improved throughout the season, culminating in a win at Stratford over the holidays, she backed that up with a brave 2nd at TeTeko and looks like she might get an unchallenged lead early on, she is racing well enough to feature prominently again. FISHERMANS BLUES shouldn’t be discounted he might only have West Coast form but is likely to push forward early and if he can find the front he could take all sorts of running down, include in all multiples.FULL OF GRACE #5 finishing 6th at Te Teko last start to BOBBY DEE who finished 4th in the Group 2 Schweppes Avondale Guineas at Ellerslie yesterday. Full Of Grace last start stipe comment: Held up for a distance approaching the 200m.
Race 6: Best bet SCAPOLO what can you say about this modern marvel, he is looking for win number 21 and has won this race on two prior occasions, he needed that Reefton run but with that effort and trip away he will be spot on for this, his big weight (66KGs after the 2KG claim) should be no issue as he is a proven weight carrier, sure to be one of the favourites. Stablemate CHIC is as consistent as ever, she was a brave 3rd over ground at Tauherenikau, she drops back to a distance that she has had good success at and will also appreciate a senior jockey taking the reins, capable enough she is not to be left out of any combinations. WIDE AWAKE resumes for the leading TeAkau stable, he has had two trials to prepare for this and has a reasonable record when fresh (6-0-4), the 4KG claim makes him very well placed at the weights, he looks to be among the leading chances. PASABACHE was a strong last start winner against a handy field at Tauranga last start, whilst she does her best racing there she has been placed on this track earlier in her career, she is a better mare now and stays in the same grade, only rising 1.5KGs in weight, Chris Johnson riding is also a big plus, can go back to back. For rougher odds SANASAR who has had genuine excuses at his last two starts, his winning effort prior is a better guide to his true ability, the now 8 year old still retains plenty of dash, a form reversal will come as no surprise.SCAPOLO winning the first of his two Poverty Bay Cups back in 2016
Race 7: Best bet HEY HAPPY trialled up nicely prior to his big effort for 2nd recently, that run was at Stratford over the holiday period and on that particular day not many horses were making up ground which makes his run look even better, he will be very hard to hold out. BEAU GESTE might have gone a touch too hard in front last start and capitulated quickly ,he has been given time to get over that exertion, drawn perfectly in the ace he can go one better today. SENOR MOSS was a touch disappointing last start after receiving a nice run in transit he found nothing, he might have needed the run after racing so well at Ellerslie in a very tough field, he can’t be dropped for one substandard effort and with Chris Johnson riding his fortunes could change, include in all multiples. ALLACCIATO has made ground at both her starts this season, she still holds an Oaks nomination and while she may have left her run a tad late for that she is more than capable of taking this out, watch for her late, she is one to follow.HEY HAPPY went a bold race last start for 2nd in his debut for the Kevin Myers stable at Stratford when beaten by the $2.80 favourite CABOCHON
Race 8: Best bet SURREY has been itching to get back over a middle distance, he has been thereabouts for some time now, with this race looking to be well within his reach, Chris Johnson riding is a plus and his chances soar if there is any rain about. KATIEM MARIE franked her good West Coast performances with a bold 3rd at Awapuni last start, she is a one dimensional mare as she always gets back and does need that clear run to be a winning hope, but she is racing too well to totally leave out. TROUP ROAD didn’t show much last start after receiving a good trip in transit and has been more than a bit disappointing all season but he does get a 4KG claim today and gets the blinkers added, one more chance for us. IFFRAAJINATOR hinted that he was returning to his best when finishing runner up two starts back at Te Aroha, his next effort was over the 2400 metres and at R82 grade, he found that all a bit too much dropping out to finish last, he is back in his rightful grade here with a repeat of that Te Aroha run being enough to take him close in this, each way. For longer odds consider PRIOR ENGAGEMENT he struggled in some very good fields in the Spring and was given a short break, he resumed with a fair effort at TeTeko making up some good ground late in the race, that effort would have cleaned him up nicely and with the 3KG claim he can make his presence felt, each way value at good odds.Forget SURREY’S last start 6th at Matamata over 1600m as the extra 400m today should suit him far better
Gisborne Racecoure 1947