Invercargill Race Scratchings
Track conditions: Slow 8
Rail: Out 4m 1700m – 220, True in the straight
Track: Left hand 1800m
Length of straight: 215m
TAB Meeting # 6 with the first of 9 races starting at 12:15pm
DBL 2-3, 4-5, 6-7, 8-9
TRB 1-2-3, 4-5-6, 7-8-9
QAD 2-3-4-5, 6-7-8-9
Todays $50 Betting Strategy
RACE 3: #7 $10 Win (paying $3.10 NZ TAB FOB)
RACE 6: $1- Quaddie / 1-4-7 / 1-3-4-5-6-9 / 1-5-8 / 1-8 / =10%)
RACE 6: #7 FOX IN SOCKS $10 Win (paying $4.50 NZ TAB FOB)
RACE 9: #8 KARM ‘N’ EASY $10 E/W (paying $26.00 & $5.50 NZ TAB FOB)
Saturday meetings $100 spend returned $79.30 = $20.70 loss
Betting Strategy running total spent $6,150 to return $4,851.10 = $1,298.90 loss
RACE 1: Final Field Win Option #50 & Final Field Place Option #392. Best bet SALIENT put in a pleasing effort fresh up in the South Island, she is now up to a more suitable distance and with a likely wet track she will be very hard to beat. CITY SLICKER getting better with every run, she followed a sound performance in the Southland Guineas with a solid run last start at Wingatui, goes close again. DONTPUTYAFOOTINIT was spotted putting in good work late over the 1200 metres on debut, she will be much better for that effort and gets up over a mile quickly, each way.
RACE 2: Final Field Win Option #53 & Final Field Place Option #393. Best bet IT’S PANDEMONIUM put in a big effort after bombing the start last time out, she is up in grade but it is not a massive leap, with a better beginning she can take this, each way. PICTURE ME ROLLIN has always promised a lot, she is now starting to deliver, she handled the step up in company last start with a strong 3rd behind a much improved galloper, she wasn’t beaten far and would only have to repeat that effort to be hard to beat here. TEDDYTWINKLETOES was 4th in the same race as the above mare, he always tries his best no matter what the distance or class, he will appreciate the 2KG claim, watch for him late.
RACE 3: Final Field Win Option #56 & Final Field Place Option #394. Best bet EAGER BEAVER should have finished a whole lot closer last start with the jockey managing to find trouble everywhere he went, stepping up to a middle distance looks ideal and only needs a slow track to be taking this out at some each way value. LUUKA is a fit mare looking for a wet track, if she gets conditions in the slow/heavy range then she can turn her form right around. MORENA ROC needed his last run badly, he will strip a lot fitter for this and the small field will suit him, watch closely.
RACE 4: Final Field Win Option #57 & Final Field Place Option #395. Best bet TIMMY TYLER does look to be so well placed in this after the 4KG claim, he has been competing in far superior fields and gets his chance to return to the winners circle in this. COME FLY WITH ME has mixed her performances this season, she still looked as though she had some improvement in her when finishing 4th last start, she has a great record around this track but wouldn’t want it too wet. HE AIN’T HEAVY is fit which should be in his favour in a field that lacks depth, he is at a nice position at the weights and will get few better chances to bounce back into some worthwhile form. BANBURY LAD and TILLY DUNNAGE can improve quickly from their fresh up efforts but both would prefer a heavy track, taking notes today.
RACE 5: Final Field Win Option #59 & Final Field Place Option #396. Best bet BEAUFIGHTER finally showed something last start, that was his first show of form since coming to the South Island, now that he has settled in and the tracks are getting softer he can continue to improve, good draw hard to beat. QUEEN EL JAY had an excuse when beaten last start, her maiden win at her prior start was very good, with a freshen up and C Johnson taking the reins she is a big chance to bounce straight back. CHOICE DU JEU won impressively fresh up in the Spring, she has been kept ticking over on unsuitable good tracks, she draws well and with the likelihood of a wet track she is more than capable of making her presence felt at some each way value.
RACE 6: Final Field Win Option #63 & Final Field Place Option #397. A Pearl Bonus sprint for fillies and mares starts the quaddie, best bet KATANGO is a tough mare that is at her best when allowed to bowl along in front, she is back a rating band for this and with a 2KG claim she looks well placed to find some winning form. DREAMING EASY appreciated the softer track conditions last start winning easily, driving through on the inner, she beat a handy line up that day and she stays in the same grade for this, watch closely. FOX IN SOCKS raced in all the recent Guineas races but may have found the distances beyond her at this stage of her career, freshened up and back to a sprint she is capable of winning here at nice value, she is also chasing a Pearl Bonus. LITTLE FLICK is the other galloper chasing a Pearl Bonus she won well on debut back in the Spring on a wet track, she has been set for this and will appreciate the 3KG claim, each way. KATANGO finishing 3rd last start at Gore to the $2.30 favourite JIM’S GIFT. KATANGO stipe comment: Raced wide in the early stages. Lay out in the early stages of the home straight.
RACE 7: Final Field Win Option #65 & Final Field Place Option #398. Best bet TAP TAP comes out on top by default, she is a long time maiden galloper, but her last few efforts have been her best, she followed a brace of 2nds with a tough 6th last time out, she has a good draw and handles all track conditions, Chris Johnson sticks with her, so should we. SHOCK AND AWE looked to be a bit unlucky last start, she was only 2nd up and will strip fitter for this, back to the 1200 metres should be no issue, goes close. MARMADUKE improved over 10 lengths form his debut effort to his last start run, he still has a lot to learn but is heading in the right direction, each way. PESHAWAR has had a freshen up since pulling up a little sore last start, on that occasion he had no luck, getting blocked on a number of occasions, he has his share of ability and should be in for a good Winter. DRAGON GLASS showed enough in the North Island to say that she should do alright in the South, she is fresh up after over a year off and any positive market moves should be followed in. Of the unraced the local mare MOTHER GOOSE looks to be the pick of them, include in all multiples.TAT TAP was only 6th last start when the $3.20 favourite but did have a tough run. Stipe Comment: Raced wide without cover throughout.
RACE 8: Final Field Win Option #67 & Final Field Place Option #399. Best bet FINBARR is starting to test our patience, he should get his preferred soft track conditions and from the draw he should get every chance, it is time for him to stand up and be counted. IRISH EXCUSE forget his last run when he blew the start, he has the class edge on the field and after the 2KG claim is not too badly off at the weights, follow your money. SHAARA has been a bit of a mixed bag this season, he is dropping back from the mile but only has 53.5 KGs to carry after the claim and that makes him a live each way chance. KING PIN was well ridden when returning to the winners circle last start, he drops to only 50KGs after the 4KG claim and has yet to finish out of the money in 8 attempts on the course, capable of going back to back. For odds consider NIGHTCAP she showed a bit more fight at her last couple of runs, she could be nearing her best again and after the 2KG claim with blinkers added a form reversal would be no surprise.FINBARR finishing 3rd last start at Gore for trainer Gay Robinson.
RACE 9: Final Field Win Option #68 & Final Field Place Option #400. Best bet KARM ‘N’ EASY he has yet to strike suitable track conditions since coming South, he wasn’t too bad last start and after the 3KG claim for an inform apprentice a bold run can be expected, more so if the track is slow or worse. SENTIENT has been in great form since the start of the year, he has finished runner up at three of his last four runs, he was a brave 2nd last time out and doesn’t have to improve much to be winning this. THE CHIEF has needed both his runs this time in after a long spell, from the draw he is likely to push forward and should be hard to hold out, include in all multiples. PERFECTO has been running on in four starts since clearing maidens on this track, she will get back again form her wide draw but expect her to get moving a lot sooner, the blinkers being added will also sharpen her up, she should be thereabouts at the finish. STELLACANTO wasn’t quite suited at her last run at Riccarton, her two efforts prior are much better form guides for this, she can bounce back quickly in this, include in all multiples.KARM ‘N’ EASY only finished 8th last start (inside #2) at Gore but didn’t get the best of runs. Stipe Comment: Raced wide throughout.
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